Making four of a kind on the flop is an extremely rare occurrence. However, statistically, you can see yourself getting 4 of a kind once every 100-150 hands. But this can vary depending on the table you are seated at.
According to the poker games rules, the probability you witness a quad on a table of nine players is 0.01283%. In other words, it is once every 7586 hands and exactly cannot be interpreted that who will receive four of a kind.
What Are the Odds of Losing with Four of a Kind to A Better 4 Of A Kind?
Suppose you assume that there are two pocket pairs, and they will see all five community cards. The odds will be once in 38916 hands.
Besides, you must not worry about losing or winning a big pot with quads. Sine this scenario occurs very rarely, your gameplay or win rate will not be affected. Furthermore, you must focus on everyday things such as CBET frequency, opening range, calling down frequencies, and more. You must try to minimize your leaks in these sections and increase your chances of winning.
Is the Odds for Getting 4 Of A Kind Is for One Player or Nine Players?
Since the game usually takes place on a 9-players table, the 0.013183% is for nine players. However, if you want to check the outcome for different number players, it can be easily calculated on the internet.
An interesting fact about probability is that it never tells the exact number. However, mathematically it can appear once every 7586 hands, but it may happen that you do not see any quad first. But then you may witness quads three to four times in the next in a short period of time. Moreover, you must remember 0.013183% is just a percentage chance, which means it can happen to anyone playing on the table. Although the number is relatively small, it is not so common as most of you believe.
Wrap Up
Sometimes you can get a quad twice in a small session, and sometimes even playing for long sessions will not. It is hard to predict the exact time that you can get hit by a quad. The laws of probability can vary according to the board and players. So, it all just depends on the luck and timing. Although you can probably guess based on likelihood, no one can be exactly sure.
